Archive for the ‘Influenza’ Category
Random Thoughts for December 10, 2009
Posted by forsythkid on December 10, 2009
Posted in Health, Influenza, Political, Politics | Tagged: Bird Flu, China, Dog Flu, Flu, MiFi, MRSA, population growth, Random thoughts | Leave a Comment »
Panic in Ukraine over swine flu
Posted by forsythkid on November 3, 2009
Story by Svitlana Dorosh
BBC Ukrainian Service, Kiev
Officials in Ukraine have closed schools for three weeks, imposed travel restrictions and are limiting public events as the country battles to stop the spread of swine flu.
More than 60 people are believed to have died of respiratory problems in the past week, and the measures are among the toughest to be implemented in Europe to tackle the virus.
It’s still not clear whether all the deaths were caused by swine flu, but the news has sparked panic, and people have started wearing masks across the country.
Appeal for calm
The Ukrainian health minister Vasyl Knyazevych has asked the media only to report the comments of medical experts following a series of misleading reports which fueled public anxiety.
On national television, he said Ukraine had the same problems as the rest of the world.
He also called on fellow politicians to give people ‘a week of silence,’ and said there was no need for panic.
However, his calls may already be too late.
255,000 cases of flu and acute respiratory problems have been registered among the 46m population. 15,000 have been hospitalized.
The World Health Organization says there is no evidence to suggest that Ukraine had a bad outbreak of swine flu, but it has agreed to send a team there to help the country cope.
President Viktor Yushchenko has also appealed for international help.
Government response
The government has faced growing criticism of its handling of the outbreak.
Some opposition politicians have been particularly critical of the health minister who they not only want to be sacked, but jailed.
Opposition politicians from the Party of the Regions say the first reported cases were at the beginning of October, but by middle of the month there had already been confirmed deaths.
They say the authorities should have provided accurate information about the outbreak so that Ukrainians could seek appropriate medical help.
Instead, the opposition says, many people have resorted to self-treatment.
Experts say Ukraine was unprepared for the swine flu outbreak, and the hunt for political scapegoats is likely to continue.
The opposition leader, Viktor Yanukovych, has called on parliament to scrutinize the government’s actions.
Investigation calls
The influential National Security and Defense Council has called on the judiciary to investigate why Ukraine was unable to prevent the outbreak.
President Viktor Yushchenko has even asked the country’s security service to look at whether pharmacies are guilty of price-fixing anti-flu medications. Critics have also rounded on Ukrainian television channels which they say have wall-to-wall coverage of Ukraine’s leading politicians, but not leading medical specialists.
This, they say, is exacerbating public concern rather than allaying popular fears.
Some analysts say swine flu is being used by the President and his arch rival the Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko to score political points ahead of presidential elections in January.
Supporters of Prime Minister Tymoshenko, who remains at bitter loggerheads with the President, say he is trying to blame her government for the situation.
Playing politics
Aware of the electoral sensitivities, she assured the Ukrainian public that she stood with them, and took “every responsibility for the government’s handling of swine flu on herself.”
“The world has given us not one, but two great trials – first, the financial crisis and now this horrible flu.”
Ukraine’s leading political analysts say the handling of swine flu has become one of the key electoral issues.
According to them, rival candidates are seeking to take the initiative in battling the spread of the virus.
“The swine flu outbreak has overshadowed all the other negative campaigning we were seeing, especially around Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko,” says Vitaly Kulyk, a political scientist at Kiev’s Centre for Civil Society.
“The main players are using the flu in their propaganda war,” he adds.
Appeals for help
Opposition leader Viktor Yanukovych, whose party is backed by Ukraine’s most powerful oligarch, has called on Ukrainians to donate to a special fund which was set up by his party.
He said he wanted to hold a TV marathon to raise funds to fight the epidemic.
The first aircraft to arrive in Ukraine from Switzerland carrying emergency medical supplies, was met by the country’s leadership.
They demonstrated how to put face masks on in front of cameras.
Many Ukrainians however, are asking why their government did not act sooner.
It was evident in May or June that swine flu was spreading around the world, they say, yet Ukraine failed to stockpile sufficient supplies of medication.
Only now, when Ukraine faces an epidemic of swine flu, has the government started to act.
Posted in Health, Influenza, Swine Flu | Tagged: flu panic, Ukriane | Leave a Comment »
Some Studies Show the Flu is Peaking, but….
Posted by forsythkid on October 22, 2009
According to flu statistician Sherry Towers and Zhilan Feng of Purdue University, computers model show that the number of flu infections may be peaking for the week ending October 25, 2009. Federal health officials, however, have continued to encourage citizens to go out and get vaccinated as soon as the H1N1 vaccine becomes available. The U.S. is expected to have about 50 million does ready by the middle of November with as much as 150 million available by the end of the year. The reason for this delay was due to the fact that the H1N1 virus does not grow as quickly in chicken eggs as does the regular flu. This has lead to less protein being available for inclusion in a vaccine.
This idea of peaking does not mean that we are out of the woods as the CDC wants to be clear ‘that trying to predict what any form of flu will do in the future is most likely an exercise in futility.’ So, they are encouraging everyone to continue getting the regular flu shots and the H1N1 shots as they become available.
CDC researchers have been studying the 1957 Asian flu pandemic in an attempt to get a handle on what the flu might do. In that outbreak, there was an initial wave of cases in September and October just like we are seeing today. Then, in January there was another jump in cases nationwide. So the bottom line is that a vaccine, even if it is late in arrival, might have a positive impact.
Posted in Health, Influenza | Tagged: CDC, Flu infections peaking, Influenza | Leave a Comment »
World Flu Report: Is This The Calm Before The Storm?
Posted by forsythkid on October 8, 2009
I took note of a recent story on the internet pertaining to how docile the H1N1 flu appears to have become. The story in the New York Times described how many areas of the country, like New York City which experienced a heavy caseload in the spring, are now at more or less ‘normal’ flu levels. And, with widespread availability of a vaccine only just weeks away, many feel that the worst may be over. So, maybe this flu thing is all becoming yesterdays news….how nice and warm that would make us all feel.
But, hold on just a minute. There may be something wrong with this picture! After all, isn’t the H1N1 virus a ‘novel’ virus that just arrived on the scene? Over the past few months, it has it not insinuated and infiltrated its way all over the globe. Even remote areas like the Tibetan plateau are even now experiencing their first cases. Like some unwanted dust storm, the viral dust is now everywhere us humans live. Some of these minuscule virus particles may even now be mixing it up in pigs along with the more deadly avian strain of the flu. This could bode ill for the future.
For now the current vaccine appears to be working rather well as the H1N1 virus has remained remarkably stable since it first appeared in early spring. Wither or not it stays that way is what has some health specialists a little worried. It becomes a waiting game to see what happens next and the longer time goes on with it changing the better for all concerned. According to the United Nation’s senior technical expert on influenza, Dr. Julie Hall, it takes two to three years for a new influenza virus to infect enough of a population to create broad immunity (from that particular strain). It could then fade int the background and be just another part of the regular form of flu that goes around each year.
However, some experts warn, it is also possible that the virus will recombine; swapping genetic material with other flu viruses such as the seasonal H3N2 virus. A special concern is that someone could become infected with both the H1N1 swine flu virus and the H5N1 avian flu virus at the same time. They could then combine to create an especially virulent new virus “that would have very unpleasant consequences for humanity,” United Nations special pandemic coordinator Dr. David Nabarro told a World Bank briefing in recent weeks. The bird flu, which is still circulating and has now infected 442 people, killing 262 of them, since 2003. Right now it is very difficult for people to catch this form of the flu. But as the numbers testify, when they do, it is extremely deadly. If a new virus had H1N1’s infectivity and H5N1’s deadliness, it could be devastating for everyone worldwide. So, is the clock ticking for or against humanity?
Posted in Health, Influenza | Tagged: Avian flu, Swine Flu | Leave a Comment »
Some Flu Deaths Are Linked to Underlying Bacterial Infections!
Posted by forsythkid on September 30, 2009
It has been discovered that some of the people who have died from the H1N1 virus, apparently did so due in part to the fact that they already had an underlying and complicating bacterial infection.
A recent CDC study of 77 patients who died, 29% also had bacterial infection that may have been a contributing factor. Half of those fatal cases were infected with Streptococcus pneumoniae or strep throat. If true, this means that while the so-called Swine Flu is no more virulent than the normal flu it may become more deadly if other infections exist. Strep throat is most common in school age children and this may then explain why most of the fatalities are in this age group.
This same report noted that in the previous pandemics of 1918, 1957 and 1968, many of the patients who died were also infected with S. pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Staphylococcus aureus as well as the group A Streptococcus which causes strep throat.
That said, it may not be a bad idea to also ask your doctor about getting a pneumococcal vaccine.
Posted in Influenza | Tagged: 2nd bug linked to deaths, Flu deaths | 1 Comment »
H1N1 plus H5N1 May Equal Trouble Brewing Soon
Posted by forsythkid on September 22, 2009
This latest flu map shows the southeastern tier of states is now well involved with the spread of the H1N1 flu. While the current strain remains on the mild side, that is no guarantee that it will remain so. I feel, increasingly like a person in a gas filled room waiting for someone to strike a match.
I feel this way because once the virus becomes firmly established in the Midwest, it will then have a better chance to also impact the so-called ‘mega pig farms’ where large numbers of hogs are maintained in close quarters. Pigs can get infected with the flu just like humans. But, even more significantly, pigs can become infected with both human and avian forms of the flu virus at the same time. If an H1N1 (swine) virus should happen to have infected a pig that was already sick with an H5N1 (avian) strain… and, if gene re-assortment occurs, there is a possibility for a whole new strain to emerge. This ‘new’ virus could theoretically be more virulent and more infectious. Current vaccines would have no effect and we could have another ‘1918 meltdown’ all over again. Now, I’m not saying that any such thing will occur, but I tell you I feel like we are just asking for trouble with the way we manage pig production. They are, after all, a proven link from us to the bird form of flu which has proven to be deadly.
One after thought. The states with the highest population of mega pig farms are concentrated in the Midwest. States which will become increasingly involved with the H1N1 virus soon.
Posted in Health, Influenza | Tagged: Avian flu, Flu, Influenza, re-assortment, Swine Flu | Leave a Comment »
Confirmed Flu Cases by US County as of August 17, 2009
Posted by forsythkid on September 17, 2009

Posted in Influenza | Tagged: Flu map | Leave a Comment »
Flu Watch – Week 35 – Flu Rise Exponential – Week Ending Sept 5, 2009
Posted by forsythkid on September 14, 2009

The chart at right speaks for itself. The Swine Flu seems to be on the move here in the United States. Make sure you get your shots, especially if you are a person at risk. The latest information I have is that just one shot will work for young or old. Remember, so far the flu is mild so there is no reason to get excited.
Also, watch out for web sites that overcharge for masks. Recent studies support the notion that simple paper surgical masks will works just as well as the N95 numbers that cost a lot more.
One source I found has simple mask for a good price. I am only offering advice. Please check with your doctor for his or her recommendations as to might work the best for you and your family.
Posted in Influenza | Tagged: Flu infections | Leave a Comment »
Is There Scientific Evidence that Flu Masks Can Help?
Posted by forsythkid on September 8, 2009
Article by The Forsythkid
Let my try and answer a couple of questions a lot of people will be asking themselves soon:
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Is there any proof that masks actually help protect you from the flu?
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What kind of mask should I get?
The answer to the first question is in the affirmative. There has been a study conducted in Australia during the winters of 2006 – 2007. You can go to the website and check it out in its entirety (this will cost you some money for the abstract). In brief, the study was conducted on 286 adults most of whom had kids in 143 households. They were broken up into three groups; one that got to wear surgical masks, one that wore so-called P2 masks that are specially designed to filter water droplets from the air and one group that wore nothing and therefore acted as a control group. All of the groups had one thing in common and that was children who were sick with a respiratory illness. The two groups that wore masks were instructed on how to properly wear them and were asked to do so when in the presence of their kids. After just one week, researchers found that the group that wore no masks were four times more likely to catch either a cold or the flu. Another interesting thing was that the two groups that wore masks appeared to be equally spared.
This brings me to the answer of the second question as to what type of mask you should consider purchasing. The surgical mask is made of paper and is the least expensive. You can find them in most pharmacies. The other masks like the ones labeled as NIOSH (National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health) N95 and which are often made from a combination of cloth and paper and which have gotten a lot of press… are now priced all over the board. They can be found on the internet (watch out for price gouging). My bottom line is you may want to seek a cheap surgical mask solution and here’s why.
In order to achieve the promised 80% reduction in your chances of getting the flu, you will need to investigate practices like ‘self quarantine’. Also, it would pay to; 1) have a heightened awareness of those around you, 2) stay away from crowds as much as possible, 3) wash your hands often and well, 4) cough into your arm and 5) wear your mask in a proper fashion whenever you are around sick people.
Now for the bad news…the flu may hang around in you locale for a couple of years! If that’s the case, you will be going through quite a few masks! (This fact alone may explain why it’s been tempting for some to hold ‘flu parties’ where they attempt to get sick from someone with the flu). Once you’re over it, you’ll be pretty much immune to that particular strain. (If your luck is really bad, like mine, you might get the regular flu strain and therefore catch it twice). Bummer.
In my next blog I’ll cover who’s really at risk and why.
Posted in Influenza | Tagged: Flu Mask Study | Leave a Comment »
Swine Flu Update for September 7th
Posted by forsythkid on September 7, 2009

Posted in Influenza | Tagged: Flu, Influenza, Swine Flu | Leave a Comment »



